Editorial insight
Why Long Islanders Are Moving to Florida
The Long Island-to-Florida move is often explained as a search for sunshine. That is part of the story, but it is not the whole story. For many households, the move is about carrying costs, property taxes, retirement planning, space, remote work, and the feeling that staying on Long Island has become financially harder than it used to be.
Florida offers a different bargain: warmer weather, a lower state income-tax environment, newer growth corridors, and a lifestyle that can feel easier for retirees or families with more flexibility. But it is not a magic discount. Popular coastal counties can be expensive, insurance costs matter, and distance from family is a real tradeoff.
Key takeaways
- Florida often looks attractive because of its lower state tax burden, warmer climate, and lifestyle built around space, retirement, and outdoor living.
- Long Island still has real strengths: strong schools, high incomes, established communities, and deep family ties.
- Florida is not automatically cheaper everywhere. Palm Beach, Sarasota, Collier, and other popular counties can come with high housing costs and rising insurance pressure.
- The real decision is a tradeoff between family, schools, taxes, housing, climate, healthcare, work, and day-to-day lifestyle.
By the numbers
Census migration flows
ACS state-to-state migration tables track where people lived one year earlier and publish annual flow estimates between states. Census source
IRS address changes
IRS SOI migration files track year-to-year tax-return address changes, including returns, people or exemptions, and adjusted gross income. IRS source
Insurance can offset savings
Florida may reduce some tax pressure, but insurance and coastal housing costs can change the monthly math. Axios reported that about 36.5% of Florida homeowners with a mortgage paid at least $3,000 per year for home insurance as of 2023, based on Census data. Axios source
New York to Florida migration over time (2016-2024)
Estimated movers from New York to Florida using comparable ACS 1-year state-to-state migration releases. 2020 is excluded because the standard ACS 1-year release was disrupted.
| Year | Movers | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 60,472 | +/- 6,197 |
| 2017 | 63,722 | +/- 7,787 |
| 2018 | 63,033 | +/- 7,071 |
| 2019 | 57,488 | +/- 6,921 |
| 2021 | 91,758 | +/- 11,589 |
| 2022 | 91,201 | +/- 10,729 |
| 2023 | 71,138 | +/- 7,109 |
| 2024 | 50,661 | +/- 6,714 |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau ACS State-to-State Migration Flows.
The longer view helps show that New York-to-Florida migration did not begin overnight. Movement was already meaningful before 2020, then rose sharply in the early 2020s before easing from its peak. Even after cooling, the flow remains large enough to shape where former Long Island households look in Florida.
Where Long Island movers go in Florida
IRS county-to-county migration snapshot, 2022-2023
IRS migration data follows year-to-year address changes on tax returns. For this Long Island-to-Florida view, it shows where households from Nassau and Suffolk moved among several popular Florida counties.
That matters because the move is not just a story about climate. The data helps show which Florida markets are receiving Long Island households, and whether those moves are mostly modest household relocations or higher-income moves.
| Florida county | Moving households | People | Avg. household income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palm Beach County, FL From Nassau + Suffolk | 1,691 | 2,701 | $264,111 |
| Hillsborough County, FL From Nassau + Suffolk | 490 | 761 | $91,045 |
| Orange County, FL From Nassau + Suffolk | 431 | 715 | $67,042 |
| Lee County, FL From Nassau + Suffolk | 405 | 657 | $138,706 |
| Pasco County, FL From Nassau + Suffolk | 287 | 514 | $101,760 |
| Sarasota County, FL From Nassau + Suffolk | 252 | 380 | $177,417 |
| Collier County, FL From Nassau + Suffolk | 243 | 442 | $342,556 |
| St. Johns County, FL From Nassau + Suffolk | 182 | 425 | $171,505 |
Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration data, 2022-2023. Households are based on IRS tax returns. Average household income is estimated from IRS adjusted gross income per return.
What the migration data shows
Census data shows the broader New York-to-Florida flow, while IRS tax-return data makes the pattern more local by showing movement from Nassau and Suffolk into specific Florida counties. The IRS rows make one thing clear: Long Island movers are not all going to one Florida market.
Palm Beach has the largest Long Island flow among the Florida counties tracked here, but households also show up in places like Hillsborough, Orange, Lee, Pasco, Sarasota, Collier, and St. Johns. Florida may reduce some tax pressure, but popular counties can still be expensive. This is a tradeoff, not a simple upgrade or downgrade.
Long Island became harder to afford
Long Island's appeal is still powerful: schools, beaches, train access, local identity, and proximity to New York City. The problem is that the same package became harder for normal families to buy into. Home prices rose, property taxes stayed central to the monthly budget, and the supply of new housing remained tight.
That is why the Florida conversation often starts before anyone talks about beaches. Families and homeowners are asking whether the Long Island package still fits their finances. For the deeper backstory, read why Long Island became so expensive.
Taxes and housing changed the math
The monthly cost of Long Island is not just a mortgage. Property taxes, insurance, commuting, maintenance, and everyday costs can make a household feel stretched even when income looks strong on paper. A county can score well on schools and economy while still feeling hard to afford.
Florida changes that math in a different way. The absence of a state income tax can matter for retirees, business owners, and some high-income households. But the savings are not universal. Higher insurance costs, homeowners association fees, flood or storm risk, and fast-rising home prices can eat into the headline advantage.
Florida offers a different lifestyle package
For many Long Islanders, Florida is not just cheaper or warmer. It is a different version of suburban life: newer housing, more master-planned communities, year-round outdoor routines, and a retirement ecosystem that feels easier to navigate.
Remote and hybrid work also changed the equation. A household that no longer needs a daily New York commute may look at the same Long Island tax bill and ask whether the location premium is still worth paying.
The Florida tradeoff
Florida has its own costs. Insurance can be a major pressure point, especially in coastal areas. Hurricanes, heat, humidity, and flood risk are not side issues. School quality varies by county and district, and moving south can mean leaving grandparents, cousins, friends, doctors, and familiar communities behind.
The most popular Florida counties are also not hidden bargains anymore. Palm Beach, Sarasota, Collier, St. Johns, and parts of Central Florida can be attractive for different reasons, but each comes with its own mix of housing costs, taxes, growth, schools, safety, and lifestyle tradeoffs.
Long Island vs Florida county tradeoffs
The fastest way to see the move clearly is to put category scores next to one another. These are Best Counties to Live generated scores, using the same data powering the map and rankings.
| County | Overall score | Typical home value | Affordability | Taxes | Schools | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nassau County, NY | 59.9 | $833,989 | 28.1 | 17.6 | 97 | 83.9 |
| Suffolk County, NY | 54.6 | $697,539 | 31.2 | 6.6 | 81.8 | 68 |
| Palm Beach County, FL | 59.9 | $467,965 | 27.2 | 54.9 | 75.2 | 79.8 |
| Sarasota County, FL | 68 | $398,504 | 42.9 | 62.2 | 92.5 | 82.7 |
| Lee County, FL | 59.3 | $339,954 | 46.9 | 59.1 | 61.2 | 74.9 |
| Collier County, FL | 58 | $559,053 | 14.7 | 70.1 | 70 | 65.1 |
| Hillsborough County, FL | 49.9 | $377,186 | 41.8 | 60.9 | 57.3 | 17.1 |
| Pasco County, FL | 59.9 | $331,106 | 48.1 | 71 | 60.7 | 61.5 |
| St. Johns County, FL | 75 | $489,323 | 45.9 | 65 | 99 | 84.1 |
| Orange County, FL | 52.1 | $403,361 | 34.1 | 64.2 | 58.9 | 41.2 |
Popular comparisons
Put Long Island next to Florida counties directly. The tradeoff becomes much clearer when housing, taxes, schools, safety, and peace & quiet sit in the same report card.
Compare Nassau County vs Palm Beach County
Compare overall score, housing, taxes, schools, safety, economy, and peace & quiet side by side.
Compare Suffolk County vs Sarasota County
Compare overall score, housing, taxes, schools, safety, economy, and peace & quiet side by side.
Compare Suffolk County vs Lee County
Compare overall score, housing, taxes, schools, safety, economy, and peace & quiet side by side.
Compare Nassau County vs St. Johns County
Compare overall score, housing, taxes, schools, safety, economy, and peace & quiet side by side.
The bigger decision
Long Islanders are not leaving for one reason. Some are chasing retirement flexibility. Some want lower tax pressure. Some want a newer house or a warmer daily routine. Others stay because Long Island's schools, roots, culture, and family network are worth the cost.
The useful question is not whether Florida is better. It is whether the Florida tradeoff is better for your household than the Long Island tradeoff.
Read next
Why Long Island Became So Expensive
A deeper look at the housing, tax, zoning, and school-district forces behind Long Island's cost problem.
Best Counties Near NYC for Families
Compare NYC-area counties for families balancing schools, safety, taxes, affordability, and space.
Best and Worst Counties in Florida
See highest-scoring and biggest-tradeoff counties across Florida.
Florida rankings
Rank every Florida county with the current generated score model.
Compare counties
Choose two counties and compare their report cards side by side.
Sources and data notes
- U.S. Census ACS State-to-State Migration Flows for annual state-to-state migration estimates.
- IRS Statistics of Income migration data for state and county migration based on tax-return address changes.
- Axios analysis of Census homeowners insurance data for the Florida insurance-cost burden reference.
- Best Counties to Live generated county scores for county-level affordability, taxes, schools, safety, overall score, and typical home value comparisons.